My first two posts on this blog were about the FDA’s
proposed change to the rules
for generic drug labels and an estimate
of the liability costs that might be incurred by the generic drug industry
as a result of the proposed change. The
Generic Pharmaceutical Manufactuer’s Association lobbying efforts appear to
have motivated Congressmen Steve Israel (D-NY) and Timothy Bishop (D-NY) to
draft a letter to the FDA requesting changes to the proposed rule. A copy of the Congressmen’s letter to the FDA
can be downloaded through this
link.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
More on Anti-CD20 Antibodies for Leukemia: The FDA and TG Therapeutics Reach Agreement on Phase III Trial Design
In my post
of June 2, 2014, I questioned the significance of data that were
hailed as evidence of the superiority of Gazyva, a new anti-CD20 antibody for
the treatment of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) as compared with Rituxan,
the original anti-CD20 antibody used to treat CLL. In that post, I focused on the difficulty of
meaningful conclusions about the comparative efficacy of two drugs, even when
those drugs are studied head-to-head, when the two drugs were administered at
very different doses. Here is news on
the development of another anti-CD20 antibody for the same indication, with
the likely result being even more debate about the comparative effectiveness of
these agents and the continuing absence of studies that would definitively
answer the question.
See the Onclive story on the FDA and TG Therapeutics see http://www.onclive.com/web-exclusives/FDA-Grants-Special-Protocol-Assessment-to-Phase-III-UblituximabIbrutinib-Studyhttp://www.onclive.com/web-exclusives/FDA-Grants-Special-Protocol-Assessment-to-Phase-III-UblituximabIbrutinib-Study
Friday, September 12, 2014
Biosimilars And Gene Patents In This Week's News
According to a story by Bronwyn Mixter in this week’s
Bloomberg’s BNA BioTech Watch, the
FDA has received at least twenty-five IND’s for biosimilar development
programs. Some quick perspective on that
is appropriate. Twenty-five initial
IND’s for the development of new small molecule drugs for cancer or autoimmune
disease would face many years of clinical trials and long odds against approval
(DiMasi
et al estimated the approval rate at sixteen percent to nineteen percent). However in this “a little brave” and “a
little new” world of biosimilar development, clinical development programs are
likely to be much shorter in duration than development programs for new drugs
or innovator biologics, and the success rates are likely to be very high, as I
indicated in my post of May
19th, 2014. The DiMasi
study referenced above estimated the large molecule success rate at thirty-two
percent; and, biosimilars are not only within that large molecule category,
they are copies of drugs that have already been shown to be reasonably safe and
effective. So it is very likely that we
will see filings for the approval of more than twenty biosimilars in the next three
years. It will be very interesting to
watch the development of the biosimilar marketplace.
Thursday, September 4, 2014
Novartis Hopes PARADIGM-HF Study Results Lead to Blockbuster Sales for Its LCZ696: Big Diseases and Pharmacoeconomics
In this week’s New
England Journal of Medicine the most widely
publicized article reported on the findings of the PARADIGM-HF study, which
tested Novartis’s experimental drug LCZ696 against enalapril, a commonly used
ACE inhibitor, in the treatment of heart failure (HF). The double-blind study
randomized over 8,442 patients with moderate to severe HF to a regimen of the experimental
drug plus standard therapy or of enalapril plus standard therapy. The primary outcome was a composite of deaths
from cardiovascular disease and first hospitalizations for HF. After 27 months,
the trial was halted because an interim analysis showed a very large benefit for
the experimental drug group. The LCZ696 patients had an approximately 20
percent reduction in the primary outcome (914 patients versus 1,117 patients in
the enalapril group: “hazard ratio in the LCZ696 group, 0.80; 95% confidence
interval [CI], 0.73 to 0.87; P<0.001”).
The experimental drug group also had comparably substantial and
significant reductions in the risk of death from any cause and the risk of death
from cardiovascular disease. The results
of the study have been reported on widely and it is clear that Novartis hopes LCZ696
will achieve blockbuster revenues. For
purposes of this post, I would like to focus on two of the study’s findings
with obvious pharmacoeconomic ramifications for calculating the drug’s costs
and benefits, which are the reductions in both hospitalizations and in deaths:
Over the duration of the trial, the
numbers of patients who would need to have been treated to prevent one primary
event and one death from cardiovascular causes were 21 and 32, respectively.
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